That trade is so overcrowded, especially when it comes to how those factors affect gold....
“Investors would be very misguided not to take the other side of that
trade. If you look at the U.S. dollar and how it relates to gold, that
is one of the most overcrowded trades in my 20 years of experience on
Wall Street. So it’s long the dollar, short gold, the United States
healing, and the end of QE.
But I believe that trade is
completely wrong. If you look at what’s happening with the 10-Year
note hitting 2.75%, and you look at how it’s already negatively affected
mortgage refinancing and initial purchases, people all over America are
canceling their contracts because they cannot afford the new rates.
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