In general he recognizes that we are going through a major transition which started in 2007. We are on our way to a new economic and monetary situation. Major transitions are characterized by unstability, or a bubbly environment. That will continue till one of the following scenarios becomes reality:
- Chaos, or monetary collapse.
- A basket of currencies acting as a world reserve currency.
- SDR (special drawing rights) issued by the IMF.
- A form of a gold standard.
Long term outlook – Monetary collapse
Mr. Rickards sees that we are heading towards the first of the four scenarios. Although he does not pretend to know the future (which nobody does evidently) he comes to his conclusion by analyzing the evolution. Up until now, based on the decisions and behaviour of policy makers, he believes there is enough evidence to believe that all signs point to a monetary collapse.
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